20969 - MACHINE LEARNING AND CAUSAL INFERENCE FOR MARKETING DECISIONS
Department of Marketing
MARTON VARGA
Mission & Content Summary
MISSION
CONTENT SUMMARY
During interactive lectures, you'll gain insights into marketing analytics and acquire the skills to write your own computer code. In the initial part of the course, we'll focus on mastering the basics of regression analysis, decision trees, and the R language. As we progress into the latter part of the course, we'll delve into advanced methods for machine learning, prediction, and simulation.
In a hands-on group project, students will unleash the power of advanced techniques and causal inference models to unravel the intricacies of consumer decisions. Whether it's analyzing purchase patterns, decoding subscription behaviors, or predicting churn, students will choose the managerial question that fascinates them the most. Consequently, students will present the outcomes of a group project they've conceptualized and analyzed. For the group project, students will use R to simulate all the data they have to work with. (I.e., students do not need to carry out a survey or obtain company data for this course.)
Topics that can be expected during the course: Regression Analysis Regression and Decision Trees Model Assessment Machine Learning Methods: Random Forest, Lasso Matching Difference-in-differences Endogeneity Simulation of Consumer Choice Optional further topics: e.g., online reviews, product search, recommendation systems |
Intended Learning Outcomes (ILO)
KNOWLEDGE AND UNDERSTANDING
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APPLYING KNOWLEDGE AND UNDERSTANDING
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Teaching methods
- Lectures
- Guest speaker's talks (in class or in distance)
- Practical Exercises
- Collaborative Works / Assignments
- Interaction/Gamification
DETAILS
Guest speakers Senior data scientist(s) with 10 years of industry experience will share their insights on working in a data science team, the importance of managerial acumen, and how to lead data teams efficiently.
Exercises
We will cover a variety of coding exercises in R during the classes.
Group assignments
Students will collaborate in groups on a project that involves creating a computer simulation of a business scenario and testing the outcomes of various managerial decisions. An experienced data scientist will supervise the project, providing feedback on methodology and managerial insights. This approach offers an excellent opportunity to learn about industry requirements, the relevance of data analytics, and the use of effective data inputs.
Interactive class activities For the group project, dedicated sessions will help student teams learn how to simulate data, form interesting managerial questions, and analyze the business scenario using predictions and data-driven simulations. |
Assessment methods
Continuous assessment | Partial exams | General exam | |
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ATTENDING STUDENTS
Written Exam:
The final written exam will be based on the topics covered during class. It will evaluate students’ understanding and ability to apply the methods, models, and tools we have discussed. The exam does not include any elements related to computer coding, nor does it contain questions pertaining to coding. (Max 20 points)
Group Assignment:
Students will engage in a group project where their collaborative efforts will be assessed. The quality of group work, including the application of analytical methods, data interpretation, and presentation skills, will contribute to the overall evaluation. (Max 11 points)
Final Presentations Bonus Points:
A bonus point will be given to each member of the student group that delivers the best final presentation, as voted by their peers. |
NOT ATTENDING STUDENTS
Not attending students will be evaluated based on a final written exam. The exam will cover specific chapters selected from the required textbook. (The exam does not include any elements related to computer coding, nor does it contain questions pertaining to coding.) (Max 31 points)
Teaching materials
ATTENDING STUDENTS
Lecture slides
Selected chapters from: Békés, Gábor, and Gábor Kézdi. Data Analysis for Business, Economics, and Policy. Cambridge University Press, 2021. (the digital version of the book is available for free in the library)
RStudio (free version) installed on laptop. |
NOT ATTENDING STUDENTS
Chapters from: Békés, Gábor, and Gábor Kézdi. Data Analysis for Business, Economics, and Policy. Cambridge University Press, 2021. (the digital version of the book is available for free in the library)